Is this Heather Mizeur’s Primary to Lose?
The conventional wisdom for the last three years is that one of the two presumed front-runners, Lt. Governor Anthony Brown and Attorney General Doug Gansler, would be the Democratic nominee for Governor. Brown had all the trappings and benefits of incumbency, while Gansler had the $5 million war chest he was able to keep after the Maryland GOP’s bad idea of giving him a free pass in his 2010 re-election campaign.
But it’s starting to look like the conventional wisdom is all wrong.
There are two very distinct and very important things that have become apparent about the two front-runners:
- Anthony Brown is No Leader: One of the knocks against Anthony Brown in this race has been his inability to point to any successes or accomplishments in public office. It isn’t exactly like his reputation has been changed in a positive manner in that regard over the health care issue, as the Obamacare Exchange situation keeps rolling from one disaster to another. Between the hundreds of millions of dollars and his extraordinary efforts to avoid scrutiny on his failure to lead, and it is becoming apparent that Anthony Brown isn’t up to the task of being Governor. And don’t forget this nugget from last summer, when I wrote about Brown and said that he was on the verge becoming KKT 2.0 with his inability to articulate his thoughts about issues.
- Doug Gansler is Out of Control: Doug Gansler is trying to run simultaneously against the O’Malley tax and spend record and on his left-leaning bona fides. That’s all well and good and a smart strategy. Sure his had a misstep when he came out in favor of reducing barriers to corruption, but that’s not where Gansler has his problems. He is completely out of control when it comes to everything that isn’t related to policy. Reckless Driving? Teenage booze parties at the ocean? And the latest own goal by the Gansler campaign, where Gansler himself implied that Lt. Governor Brown’s service in Iraq wasn’t a “real job.” Gansler’s worst enemy right now is himself, and with so little time between now and the primary his inability to avoid traps laid for him is going to hurt.
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