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Fun With Numbers

Just when you think all the results of the Maryland Primary have been analyzed to death, let me offer the following.

Candidates for Delegate to the Republican National Convention often include elected officials, party leaders and, yes, mere bloggers. How they did is often correlated to which candidate they were associated with but when you look at those who did not support the winner, John McCain, there are some interesting results.

What is the value of having a well know incumbent support your candidacy? Does the relative vote getting ability of convention delegate candidates say something about their viability for higher office? Which fellow blogger got the most votes?

See below the fold and let the fun and speculation begin.

(Crossposted)

Results in the following form:

Name (congressional district)(candidate affiliation)(total votes)(percentage of votes cast)

First, two of my RedMaryland colleagues Brian Griffiths and Mark Newgent ran in their respective districts.

Brian Griffiths (D2) (unaffiliated) 426 .6%
Mark Newgent(D3) (Romney) 163 .2%

Looks like Maryland’s “Most Influential Blogger” has the bragging rights here.

How about members of the General Assembly?Let’s start with the boys with the Citizens for Better Government

Del. Nic Kipke (D1) (Giuliani) 2241 1.1%
Del. James King (D3)(Giuliani) 1034 1.1%
Del. Steve Schuh (D1)(Giuliani) 3262 1.7% (Schuh ran as an alternate)

For the self-appointed leaders of the MDGOP renaissance, this is not an impressive showing. Schuh even campaigned with robocalls.

Combined they got fewer votes than Del. Tony McConkey.

Del. Tony McConkey (D1)(Huckabee) 15672 7.5%

Before you chalk all this to the candidates they supported compare them to the following:

Del. Jeannie Haddaway (D1)(Thompson) 6250 3.0%
Del. Richard Sossi (D1)(Thompson) 2937 1.4%
Del. Susan McComas (D1)(Giuliani) 3414 1.6%
Del. Joe Boteler (D2)(Thompson) 1880 2.6%
Del. Tony O’Donnell (D3)(Thompson) 1819 1.7%
Del. Gail Bates (D7)(Thompson) 2017 3.5%
Del. Warren Miller (D7)(Thompson) 1202 2.1%

The Ron Paul Delegates in D1 averaged 4180 votes for 2% of the total.

Every Republican delegate in the race, regardless of how they supported, got more votes than Delegate Milquetoast. Slots vote backlash? Does it say something about a King/McConkey matchup for the 33 Senate seat in 2010?

What about the Republican State Senators? Surely, more well established politicians solely representing a larger area can draw votes just based on name recognition, right?

Sen. Alex Mooney (D6)(Romney) 10540 5.5%
Sen. David Brinkley (D6)(Thompson) 6531 3.4%
Sen. Janet Greenip (D3)(Romney) 4842 4.9% (her aide Justin Ready got 6696 votes)
Sen. Allan Kittleman (D7)(Romney) 3666 6.4%
Sen. Nancy Jacobs (D3)(Thompson) 2672 3.7%
Sen. Bryan Simonaire (D2)(Romney) 2613 3.6%

Good news for a future Mooney Congressional run? All you Simonaire haters, what does this say to you?

But former elected officials and former candidates were on the ballot as well. Does it mean anything for their future viability? Let’s take a random sample and I will leave it to you to speculate.

David Boschert (D1)(Romney) 7500 3.6% (former delegate and congressional candidate)
Dr. Gary Applebaum (D3)(Giuliani) 1908 1.9% (2006 congressional candidate)
John White (D3)(unaffiliated) 512 .5% (beat Applebaum in 2006 congressional primary)
Scott Rolle (D6)(Giuliani) 4730 2.4% (fmr. Fred. County SA and AG candidate)

And just for fun, here are some results for some present and former party leaders.

Does it help to be Anne Arundel GOP Chairman? Let’s see how the current and some former chairs did.

Jerry Walker (D3)(Thompson) 884 .9% (current AAGOP chair)
Mike Collins (D3)(unaffiliated) 591 .6% (deposed AAGOP chair)
Mike Malone (D3)(unaffiliated) 545 .6% (highly regarded former AAGOP chair).

I guess is does not help much.

The real winners were the McCain delegates who largely were not elected officials or well known members of the GOP community. The elected officials who jumped on the Romney, Giuliani and Thompson bandwagons had varying degrees of success in overcoming their candidate’s departure from the race.






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